All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
Fading Mr. buckets? Jimmy Butler was nothing short of special in Game 1, a 118-107 Miami victory. He shot 63.2% from the floor and made 17 free throws, and Butler matched up well with Boston on Tuesday night. However, a repeat performance is unlikely given the Celtics’ ranking as a top-10 defense against 2P% and FTA/FGA. It will be tempting to hammer the over on Butler’s props after what we saw Tuesday, but I would be careful.
Shot-block Bob: Robert Williams III is looking to build a playoff resume as one of the game’s elite shot-blockers. Williams blocked 6.8% of opponent 2-point field goal attempts while on the floor this season, while ranking third in the league in block percentage. Williams has 7.3% block percentage this postseason and is likely to exceed his defensive props. Williams also had 34.25 DraftKings points in Game 1, making him a fun daily fantasy target for Thursday night. He was one rebound shy of a double-double in Game 1, and he enters Game 2 with +250 odds to deliver one.
Bam’s blocks: Bam Adebayo is also thriving as a shot-blocker. He has blocked seven shots over the past three games, including four in the series opener against Boston. Adebayo has been prolific in rim protection lately and enters Game 2 with +165 odds to tally multiple blocks.
— Jim McCormick & Kyle Soppe
Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
8:30 p.m ET, FTX Arena, Miami
Line: Heat (-3.5)
Money line: Heat (-160), Celtics (+140)
Total: 207.5 points
BPI projected total: 210.3 points
BPI win%: Heat (72%)
Ruled out: Kyle Lowry (hamstring), Derrick White (personal)
Note: BPI numbers factor in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play.
Questionable: Marcus Smart (foot), Gabe Vincent, Max Strus
Notable: The Heat have covered eight games this postseason and six of those eight games have gone under the total.
Best bet: Bam Adebayo over 27.5 points + assists + rebounds. Adebayo played a crucial defensive role in Game 1, as Jimmy Butler shredded Boston in a 41-point performance Tuesday. Boston will prioritize containing Butler in Game 2, meaning the Heat might rely more on Adebayo down low with Horford still out. — Eric Moody
Best bet: Marcus Smart over 22.5 points + assists + rebounds. Smart is expected to make his series debut against the Heat in Game 2 and will have a major impact on both ends of the floor. He has averaged 15.0 points, 6.2 assists and 3.7 rebounds per game this postseason. — Moody
Best bet: Tyler Herro over 15.5 points. Herro scored 18 points in Game 1 and should continue to make an impact off the bench. He is an accurate shooter who doesn’t hesitate to attack the rim. With Gabe Vincent and Max Strus both listed as questionable, Herro could see even more usage in Game 2. — Moody
Best bet: Over 207.5 points. The Heat have averaged almost 113 PPG at home in the playoffs, scoring at least 115 points five times in six games. While both defenses are excellent, they are also great at turning defense into offense. This happened in Game 1; at least 53 points were scored in every quarter. I expect another competitive game Thursday night with plenty of points on the board. — André Snellings
Best bet: Jimmy Butler over 38.5 total points + assists + rebounds. The Celtics’ defense is great, but Butler has been on a tear recently. He has averaged 42.8 PAR (points, assists, rebounds) this postseason and has been even hotter of late, averaging 44.9 PAR over his past six games. He’s gone over 38.5 PAR in five of his past six games, including 55 PAR in Game 1 against the Celtics. — Snellings
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