When the Packers face the Eagles on “Sunday Night Football” (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC), they will be facing their last gasp of playoff hope for the 2022 NFL season. Green Bay (4-7) goes into Week 12 with no margin for error to mak any kind of a wild-card push, while host Philadelphia (9-1) is looking to get closer to the top seed in the NFC playoffs.
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are dealing with a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball, both for active and inactive players. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have a clean bill of health, save for tight end Dallas Goedert (shoulder).
MORE: Why Aaron Rodgers has kept playing even after breaking his thumb
Will the Packers follow the Commanders in Week 10 and pull a shocking upset in Philadelphia? Or will the Eagles go back to dominating at home?
Here’s everything to know about betting on Packers vs. Eagles in Week 12, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for “Sunday Night Football.”
WEEK 12 PICKS: Against the spread | Straight-up predictions
Packers vs. Eagles odds for Sunday Night Football
- Spread: Eagles by 6.5
- Over/under: 46.5
- Moneyline: Packers +230, Eagles -300
The Eagles have been hovering around touchdown favorites since the initial lines. They have been pretty strong at home but are coming off a loss to the Commanders and a close win over the Colts, making them seem more vulnerable.
(Betting odds per Bet MGM)
Packers vs. Eagles all-time series
The Packers have surprisingly dominated, 28-17. They have won three of the past four meetings and six of the past eight. The Packers won the 2020 meeting in Lambeau Field 30-16. The Eagles won at Green Bay in 2019, 34-27.
Three trends to know
—57 percent of spread bettors are jumping on the perceived low number in favor of the Eagles and taking them to cover.
—52 percent of total bettors are thinking the game will be more high-scoring than expected and are taking the over.
—The Packers are 4-7 against the spread this season with five games going over. The Eagles are 5-5 ATS this season with six games going over.
Three things to watch
The Eagles’ new-look run defense vs. Aaron Jones
Philadelphia added Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh to its defensive tackle rotation to improve its run stuffing after getting gashed by the Commanders. The Colts did run on them well with Jonathan Taylor last week. The Packers’ only shot to stay in the game is a big rushing night from Jones, with a little between-the-tackles help from A.J. Dillon. The Eagles need to stop the run and work to build a negative game script for the Packers early.
Hurts, the new NFL MVP?
Hurts was huge last last week in Indianapolis as his running and passing helped Philly avoid a second straight upset loss. He is hoping he still has an MVP case vs. the Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes. What better way to improve those odds than to light it up opposite the back-to-back reigning MVP, Rodgers? The Packers’ injuries at linebacker and in the secondary set up Hurts for a big night.
Eagles WR A.J. Brown vs. Packers CB Jaire Alexander
With Eric Stokes down, Alexander is the Packers’ clear top cover man and will likely work often in containing Brown instead of DeVonta Smith. That’s easier to do without worrying about Goedert in the middle of the field, as Alexander will likely get safety help to contain Brown. The Eagles might need to be content with Smith having the bigger game.
Stat that matters
135.8. Rushing yards allowed per game by the Packers, which is No. 25 in the league, behind the Browns, and headed toward the league’s worst run defenses. The Eagles will have no issues running it often with their backs and Hurts.
Packers vs. Eagles prediction
The Eagles should like all their offensive matchups for Hurts. The Packers’ offense doesn’t have much to inspire vs. the Eagles’ defensive front and secondary. They also have been a lousy road team this season, while the Eagles have typically been great in Philly. Look for this to play out much like the Birds’ Week 2 matchup vs. the Vikings.
Eagles 31, Packers 20